《What I Learned About Investing from Darwin》简介:

The investment profession is in a state of crisis. The vast majority of equity fund managers are unable to beat the market over the long term, which has led to massive outflows from active funds to passive funds. Where should investors turn in search of a new approach?

Pulak Prasad offers a philosophy of patient long-term investing based on an unexpected source: evolutionary biology. He draws key lessons from core Darwinian concepts, mixing vivid examples from the natural world with compelling stories of good and bad investing decisions—including his own. How can bumblebees’ survival strategies help us accept that we might miss out on Tesla? What does an experiment in breeding tame foxes reveal about the traits of successful businesses? Why might a small frog’s mimicry of the croak of a larger rival shed light on the signs of corporate dishonesty?

Informed by successful evolutionary strategies, Prasad outlines his counterintuitive principles for long-term gain. He provides three mantras of investing: Avoid big risks; buy high quality at a fair price; and don’t be lazy—be very lazy. Prasad makes a persuasive case for a strategy that rules out the vast majority of investment opportunities and advocates permanently owning high-quality businesses.

《What I Learned About Investing from Darwin》摘录:

I claimed that Costco at an operating margin of 3 percent is a better business than Tiffany at 19 percent. If we limit our definition of “better” to the level of ROCE, then I was right. This is because Costco’s average ROCE from 2014 to 2019 (pre-pandemic) was 22 percent compared to Tiffany’s 16 percent. Costco is deploying its capital much more effectively than Tiffany, and this more than compensates for Costco’s low margin. Let’s take the example of just one important part of its capital employed: inventory. Costco keeps about 31 days of inventory in its warehouses and retail stores. Guess the same number for Tiffany. It is 521 days, or almost a year and half! Tiffany’s operating margin is impressive, but Costco’s dramatically better management of its inventory and other assets ensures i...

《What I Learned About Investing from Darwin》目录:

Acknowledgments
Introduction
Part I. Avoid Big Risks
1. Oh, to Be a Bumblebee
Part II. Buy High Quality at a Fair Price
2. The Siberian Solution
3. The Paradox of McKinsey and Sea Urchins
4. The Perils of a Pavlovian
5. Darwin Ate My DCF
6. Bacteria and Business Replay the Tape
7. Don’t Confuse a Green Frog for a Guppy
Part III. Don’t Be Lazy—Be Very Lazy
8. Birds and Bears Bare an Aberration
9. Eldredge and Gould Dredge Up Investing Gold
10. Where Are the Rabbits?
Conclusion
Notes
Index
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